La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 17:30
12.2442.6%
X3.5227.1%
23.1630.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
WLLWDWLDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Sevilla
DDLLDLLWWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.70
Against
5.90
11.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.20goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.60
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.00goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.90
11.40
Match total
8.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.80
Match total
5.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
24.40
Match total
23.00

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.40
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches548
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%42.3%-0.3 pp
Draw27.1%27.0%-0.1 pp
Away30.2%30.7%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.481.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-09.7%
2-08.2%
2-18.0%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.41
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=547.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.0%31.1%–45.5% CI
Draw FT37.4%30.5%–44.9% CI
Away FT24.6%18.7%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away42.1%