La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 17:30
12.2442.6%
X3.5227.1%
23.1630.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valladolid
WLLWDWLDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Sevilla
DDLLDLLWWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.70
Against
5.90
11.40
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valladolid attack
1.20goals per matchSevilla conceded1.60Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.00goals per matchValladolid conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.90
11.40
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.80
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
24.40
Match total
23.00
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.40
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches548
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%42.3%-0.3 pp
Draw27.1%27.0%-0.1 pp
Away30.2%30.7%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.48–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
1-09.7%
2-08.2%
2-18.0%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.79–4.41
Average total10.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=547.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.0%31.1%–45.5% CI
Draw FT37.4%30.5%–44.9% CI
Away FT24.6%18.7%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.0%
Away42.1%