La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 13:00
12.2841.9%
X3.2229.7%
23.3728.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LDDWLWWDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Valencia
LLLLLLLLWL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
0.90
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.50
Against
5.50
10.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Valencia conceded1.50
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.50goals per match
Celta conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.50
10.40
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
24.50
Match total
23.50

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.10
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches890
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%41.9%-0.0 pp
Draw29.7%32.5%+2.8 pp
Away28.4%25.6%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.301.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
1-012.8%
0-09.9%
2-18.5%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.40
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=889.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches303
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.3%28.3%–38.8% CI
Draw FT42.9%37.5%–48.5% CI
Away FT23.8%19.3%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.1%
Away42.6%