La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 20:00
11.5761.0%
X4.1023.3%
26.1015.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WDWWDWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Getafe
LLLDLDDLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.30
Against
5.50
10.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.60goals per match
Getafe conceded1.50
Matchup

Getafe attack

0.60goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.50
10.60
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
25.20
Match total
25.60

Shots

20.30N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
8.40
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches291
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.0%58.8%-2.2 pp
Draw23.3%26.1%+2.8 pp
Away15.7%15.1%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.860.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
2-012.7%
1-011.0%
0-17.6%
3-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.313.77
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=291.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%36.5%–56.3% CI
Draw FT30.1%21.7%–40.1% CI
Away FT23.7%16.2%–33.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.8%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.4%
Away45.2%