La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 17:30
12.1744.2%
X3.5027.4%
23.3928.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WWLLWDWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DLLWLDWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.30
Against
4.60
9.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.60goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.00
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.60
9.60
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.00
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
27.00
Match total
27.90

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.50
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches592
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%45.1%+0.9 pp
Draw27.4%28.0%+0.6 pp
Away28.3%26.9%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.501.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
1-011.8%
2-19.0%
0-17.8%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.594.32
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=592.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches183
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.9%27.4%–41.0% CI
Draw FT38.3%31.5%–45.5% CI
Away FT27.9%21.9%–34.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away48.6%