La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-12 · 20:00
12.1943.7%
X2.9932.0%
23.9524.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mallorca
WWWWWLDDWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Cadiz
LWLLLDDWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.00
Against
5.80
8.50
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mallorca attack
1.30goals per matchCadiz conceded1.50Matchup
Cadiz attack
0.70goals per matchMallorca conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.80
8.50
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.40
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.80N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
32.30
Match total
29.60
Shots
9.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
2.80
On target
2.80
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%46.1%+2.3 pp
Draw32.0%29.6%-2.4 pp
Away24.2%24.3%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%
BTTS44.7%
Historical average
1.26–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.4%
1-013.8%
2-011.2%
0-110.5%
0-010.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.09–3.88
Average total8.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.540.1%
Over 10.528.3%
Over 11.522.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%20.6%–43.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%37.5%–62.5% CI
Away FT19.0%10.9%–30.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals8.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.4%
Away44.8%