La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-04 · 18:30
11.8651.4%
X3.5826.7%
24.3621.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
LWWWWLWDWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Espanol
DDWLWLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.30
Against
7.30
8.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.90
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.70goals per match
Espanol conceded2.00
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.20goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.30
Corners against
7.30
8.50
Match total
11.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.30
Match total
6.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.80
Match total
24.50

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.50
On target
2.80
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches398
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%51.3%-0.1 pp
Draw26.7%28.6%+1.9 pp
Away21.9%20.1%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.530.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.6%
1-111.1%
2-110.6%
2-010.3%
0-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.13
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=398.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.2%28.4%–44.7% CI
Draw FT41.5%33.4%–50.1% CI
Away FT22.3%16.0%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away39.2%