La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 18:30
12.7634.7%
X3.4327.9%
22.5637.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
LWLDLWWDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Villarreal
LLWDLLWWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.80
Against
6.20
11.60
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.60
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.40goals per match
Valencia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.20
11.60
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.10
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
26.30
Match total
23.30

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.40
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches391
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%33.8%-0.9 pp
Draw27.9%26.3%-1.6 pp
Away37.4%39.9%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.331.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
0-111.5%
1-28.4%
1-07.9%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.165.11
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=391.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches117
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.2%20.8%–37.0% CI
Draw FT34.2%26.2%–43.2% CI
Away FT37.6%29.4%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.0%
Away54.7%