La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-02 · 21:00
12.5437.8%
X3.3528.7%
22.8733.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
LDWWLDDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Real Madrid
LWLWLWDLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.70
Against
5.10
6.80
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.30goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.20
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.40goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.10
6.80
Match total
11.00
20%2/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
5.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
30.30
Match total
24.40

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
16.80N=10
3.90
On target
4.60
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches499
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%36.5%-1.4 pp
Draw28.7%29.3%+0.6 pp
Away33.5%34.3%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.201.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-012.2%
0-110.4%
1-28.8%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.65
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=499.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches166
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.7%21.5%–35.0% CI
Draw FT42.8%35.5%–50.4% CI
Away FT29.5%23.1%–36.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away52.4%