La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-02 · 18:30
11.6259.3%
X4.3322.2%
25.2118.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
WLDWLWLDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Elche
LLDLLWLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.40
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
8.70
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
1.20goals per matchElche conceded1.90Matchup
Elche attack
0.40goals per matchAlmeria conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
8.70
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.00
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.10
Match total
24.70
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.00
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%61.8%+2.4 pp
Draw22.2%12.7%-9.5 pp
Away18.5%25.5%+7.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.540.2%
BTTS56.9%
Historical average
2.23–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-29.8%
4-08.8%
2-18.8%
3-08.8%
2-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.34–3.77
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.2%
Away38.9%