La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-02 · 18:30
11.6259.3%
X4.3322.2%
25.2118.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WLDWLWLDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Elche
LLDLLWLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.40
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
8.70
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.20goals per match
Elche conceded1.90
Matchup

Elche attack

0.40goals per match
Almeria conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
8.70
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.00
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.10
Match total
24.70

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.00
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%61.8%+2.4 pp
Draw22.2%12.7%-9.5 pp
Away18.5%25.5%+7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.540.2%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

2.231.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-29.8%
4-08.8%
2-18.8%
3-08.8%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.77
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away38.9%