La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-01 · 20:00
11.9948.0%
X3.5027.3%
23.8724.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sevilla
LLWWWWLWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Girona
DWDLLWLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.80
Against
5.60
9.00
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.70goals per matchGirona conceded1.50Matchup
Girona attack
1.20goals per matchSevilla conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.60
9.00
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.80
Match total
6.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
23.20
Match total
28.40
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.40
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches611
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%44.7%-3.3 pp
Draw27.3%28.3%+1.0 pp
Away24.7%27.0%+2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
1.49–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-011.5%
2-19.2%
0-18.8%
1-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.55–4.46
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=611.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches213
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.1%30.9%–43.8% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.9%–43.8% CI
Away FT25.8%20.4%–32.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals16.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.9%
Away48.8%