La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-01 · 18:00
13.6426.2%
X2.9832.1%
22.2941.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mallorca
DWWWWWLDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Ath Bilbao
LDLLWLDWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.70
Against
4.80
8.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
2.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mallorca attack

1.30goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.10goals per match
Mallorca conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.80
8.10
Match total
9.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.30
Match total
4.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.60N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
32.10
Match total
27.50

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.10
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.2%16.0%-10.2 pp
Draw32.1%40.0%+7.9 pp
Away41.7%44.0%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.548.0%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.58.0%
BTTS32.0%

Historical average

0.600.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-024.0%
0-120.0%
1-116.0%
0-212.0%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.044.36
Average total8.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.544.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.516.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

0.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal53.8%
2+ goals15.4%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home15.4%
Away38.5%