La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 20:00
15.2118.4%
X4.0123.9%
21.6657.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
WWLLWDWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ath Madrid
WLLDWWDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.60
Against
4.80
11.80
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.10goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.90
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.10goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.60
Corners against
4.80
11.80
Match total
8.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.00
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.00
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.4%16.7%-1.7 pp
Draw23.9%17.6%-6.2 pp
Away57.7%65.7%+8.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

0.941.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.7%
1-312.7%
0-210.8%
0-110.8%
1-19.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.896.06
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Draw FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Away FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.9%
Away63.6%