La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 15:15
11.8252.5%
X3.7725.4%
24.3222.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WWWLLWDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Celta
LDWLWDDWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.50goals per match
Celta conceded1.30
Matchup

Celta attack

1.20goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.90
Match total
5.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
27.50
Match total
24.50

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.00
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.5%48.2%-4.3 pp
Draw25.4%30.0%+4.6 pp
Away22.1%21.8%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

1.661.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
0-010.0%
1-010.0%
2-18.2%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.144.44
Average total10.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.537.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.7%25.9%–51.2% CI
Draw FT52.8%39.7%–65.6% CI
Away FT9.4%4.1%–20.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals9.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.4%
Away32.1%