La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 15:15
11.8252.5%
X3.7725.4%
24.3222.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Villarreal
WWWLLWDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Celta
LDWLWDDWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Villarreal attack
1.50goals per matchCelta conceded1.30Matchup
Celta attack
1.20goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.90
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
27.50
Match total
24.50
Shots
16.80N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.00
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.5%48.2%-4.3 pp
Draw25.4%30.0%+4.6 pp
Away22.1%21.8%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS55.9%
Historical average
1.66–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
0-010.0%
1-010.0%
2-18.2%
1-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.14–4.44
Average total10.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.537.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.7%25.9%–51.2% CI
Draw FT52.8%39.7%–65.6% CI
Away FT9.4%4.1%–20.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals9.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.4%
Away32.1%