La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 13:00
13.0231.6%
X3.1930.0%
22.4938.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cadiz
WDDWWWDLLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Valencia
DLLLLLLLLW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.10
9.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Cadiz attack

1.20goals per match
Valencia conceded1.40
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.50goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.10
9.50
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
5.00
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
26.50
Match total
23.40

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.00
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches253
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%31.2%-0.4 pp
Draw30.0%28.5%-1.5 pp
Away38.4%40.3%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.111.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.8%
1-113.4%
1-010.3%
0-09.5%
0-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.574.90
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=253.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.2%19.8%–38.6% CI
Draw FT41.2%31.3%–51.8% CI
Away FT30.6%21.8%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.2%
Away47.1%