La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 13:00
13.0231.6%
X3.1930.0%
22.4938.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cadiz
WDDWWWDLLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Valencia
DLLLLLLLLW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.10
9.50
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cadiz attack
1.20goals per matchValencia conceded1.40Matchup
Valencia attack
0.50goals per matchCadiz conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.10
9.50
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
5.00
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
26.50
Match total
23.40
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.00
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches253
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%31.2%-0.4 pp
Draw30.0%28.5%-1.5 pp
Away38.4%40.3%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.11–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.8%
1-113.4%
1-010.3%
0-09.5%
0-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.57–4.90
Average total9.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=253.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.525.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.2%19.8%–38.6% CI
Draw FT41.2%31.3%–51.8% CI
Away FT30.6%21.8%–41.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals14.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.2%
Away47.1%