La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 17:30
11.1682.8%
X8.5211.3%
216.076.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
DWDWWDWWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Almeria
LLDDLLLDLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.40
Against
5.50
10.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
2.20
3.00
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.30goals per match
Almeria conceded2.20
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.20goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.50
10.70
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.30
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
24.80
Match total
20.50

Shots

20.70N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
7.80
On target
4.50
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.8%87.5%+4.7 pp
Draw11.3%6.3%-5.0 pp
Away6.0%6.3%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.8%
Over 2.579.2%
Over 3.554.2%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

3.060.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.6%
3-112.5%
2-110.4%
3-010.4%
4-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.712.81
Average total10.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.554.2%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT93.3%70.2%–98.8% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home93.3%
Away26.7%