La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:15
14.6620.6%
X3.5427.1%
21.8352.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
LLLDWLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Vallecano
DWDWWDLLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.50
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.30
Against
4.80
11.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Elche attack

0.80goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.90goals per match
Elche conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.80
11.70
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
25.10
Match total
31.40

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.30
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.6%29.2%+8.7 pp
Draw27.1%23.1%-4.0 pp
Away52.4%47.7%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.121.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.5%
1-212.3%
0-27.7%
2-07.7%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.896.37
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Draw FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals6.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away62.5%