La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-27 · 18:30
11.6059.8%
X4.0523.6%
25.7516.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
LWWWLLWDWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Espanol
DDDWLWLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.60
Against
6.80
8.60
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.10goals per match
Espanol conceded1.70
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.80
8.60
Match total
10.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.30
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
28.40
Match total
24.50

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.90
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches274
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.8%56.9%-2.8 pp
Draw23.6%26.6%+3.0 pp
Away16.6%16.4%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.890.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
2-011.7%
2-110.9%
1-08.8%
3-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.283.86
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=274.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.1%32.3%–54.6% CI
Draw FT40.3%29.7%–51.8% CI
Away FT16.7%9.8%–26.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals51.4%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.9%
Away50.0%