La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-27 · 18:30
11.7554.6%
X3.7725.4%
24.7720.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
LLWLDLWWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Valladolid
LLLLWLLDLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.80
1.60
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.90
Against
5.70
11.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
2.20
2.10
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Valladolid conceded2.20
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.50goals per match
Valencia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.70
11.60
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.50
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.30
Match total
26.60

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.20
On target
2.20
8%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches432
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%56.0%+1.4 pp
Draw25.4%25.9%+0.6 pp
Away20.0%18.1%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.690.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.7%
1-012.3%
1-110.9%
0-09.5%
2-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.944.03
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=432.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches138
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.0%34.1%–50.4% CI
Draw FT40.6%32.7%–48.9% CI
Away FT17.4%12.0%–24.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals10.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away35.5%