La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-26 · 18:30
11.8950.6%
X3.4427.8%
24.4421.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Getafe
DDWLLDWWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Almeria
LLLDDLLLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.30
Against
6.00
7.70
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
2.40
2.00
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Getafe attack
1.20goals per matchAlmeria conceded2.40Matchup
Almeria attack
1.10goals per matchGetafe conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.00
7.70
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.30
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.50N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
30.60
Match total
19.40
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.60
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches362
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.6%51.4%+0.8 pp
Draw27.8%28.7%+0.9 pp
Away21.6%19.9%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.518.0%
BTTS43.6%
Historical average
1.44–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.1%
1-113.3%
2-012.4%
2-110.8%
0-09.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.41–3.82
Average total9.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=362.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.4%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.523.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.5%35.9%–53.5% CI
Draw FT39.5%31.2%–48.5% CI
Away FT16.0%10.5%–23.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals10.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.6%
Away31.9%