La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-26 · 18:30
11.8950.6%
X3.4427.8%
24.4421.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Getafe
DDWLLDWWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Almeria
LLLDDLLLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.30
Against
6.00
7.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
2.40
2.00
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Getafe attack

1.20goals per match
Almeria conceded2.40
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.10goals per match
Getafe conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.00
7.70
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.30
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

17.50N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
30.60
Match total
19.40

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.60
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches362
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.6%51.4%+0.8 pp
Draw27.8%28.7%+0.9 pp
Away21.6%19.9%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.518.0%
BTTS43.6%

Historical average

1.440.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.1%
1-113.3%
2-012.4%
2-110.8%
0-09.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.413.82
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=362.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.4%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.523.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.5%35.9%–53.5% CI
Draw FT39.5%31.2%–48.5% CI
Away FT16.0%10.5%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.6%
Away31.9%