La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-26 · 18:30
11.4267.2%
X4.2522.5%
29.2210.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
DWLWDWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Mallorca
WWLLLLLLDW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.90
0.50
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.50
Against
4.30
9.00
Total
7.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
2.00goals per matchMallorca conceded1.40Matchup
Mallorca attack
0.90goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.30
9.00
Match total
7.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.10
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
23.90
Match total
29.50
Shots
17.60N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
6.10
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.2%69.2%+2.0 pp
Draw22.5%30.8%+8.3 pp
Away10.3%0.0%-10.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS38.5%
Historical average
1.69–0.54
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-023.1%
0-015.4%
1-115.4%
1-015.4%
3-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.31–2.54
Average total8.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.50.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away20.0%