La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-25 · 18:30
15.4517.6%
X4.3921.8%
21.5860.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
DWDWLWWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Real Madrid
WLWLWLWDLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.40
Against
5.60
7.30
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Girona attack

1.80goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.80
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.50goals per match
Girona conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.60
7.30
Match total
10.90
10%1/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.50
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
22.30
Match total
25.50

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
5.50
On target
5.00
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.6%21.8%+4.2 pp
Draw21.8%20.5%-1.3 pp
Away60.6%57.7%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.951.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.8%
1-211.5%
0-211.5%
1-19.0%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.776.17
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away60.0%