La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 20:00
12.8233.9%
X3.3828.3%
22.5337.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
DLLWWWWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Villarreal
LLLWDLLWWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.10
Against
6.60
9.90
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.60goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.50
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.30goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.60
9.90
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.60
Match total
4.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
24.70
Match total
25.00

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.50
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches475
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%31.8%-2.1 pp
Draw28.3%27.8%-0.5 pp
Away37.8%40.4%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.211.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-112.0%
1-08.2%
0-07.8%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.99
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=475.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.5%17.5%–30.8% CI
Draw FT37.9%30.6%–45.8% CI
Away FT38.6%31.2%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away58.2%