La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 15:15
11.9748.6%
X3.4327.9%
24.0923.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barcelona
WWWDWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Ath Madrid
WWLLDWWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.20
0.20
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.60
0.80
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
2.10
Against
5.10
9.10
Total
8.60
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.10
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barcelona attack
1.90goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.80Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.20goals per matchBarcelona conceded0.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
2.10
Corners against
5.10
9.10
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.00
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
24.70
Match total
23.60
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.10
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches676
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%51.5%+2.8 pp
Draw27.9%28.8%+0.9 pp
Away23.4%19.7%-3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.54–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
2-112.1%
1-011.8%
0-09.8%
2-09.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.72–4.09
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=676.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches203
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.0%29.7%–42.8% CI
Draw FT44.3%37.7%–51.2% CI
Away FT19.7%14.8%–25.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.5%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.7%
Away36.5%