La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 13:00
14.3522.0%
X3.5027.3%
21.8950.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
LLLLDWLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Valencia
DDLLLLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.40
1.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.90
Against
5.10
11.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Elche attack

0.80goals per match
Valencia conceded1.50
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.40goals per match
Elche conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.10
11.00
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.60
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
25.70
Match total
25.30

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.50
On target
2.70
6%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.0%29.6%+7.6 pp
Draw27.3%20.9%-6.5 pp
Away50.6%49.6%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS44.3%

Historical average

1.001.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-013.0%
1-212.2%
0-111.3%
0-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.985.94
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%14.2%–40.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%26.3%–55.4% CI
Away FT35.0%22.1%–50.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.5%
Away57.5%