La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 17:30
11.6757.3%
X3.6526.2%
25.8116.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WLDWWLDDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Vallecano
LDWDWWDLLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.10
Against
5.20
7.90
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
1.80
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.20goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.20
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.90goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.20
7.90
Match total
10.60
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
5.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
29.30
Match total
31.10

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.3%51.7%-5.6 pp
Draw26.2%32.5%+6.3 pp
Away16.5%15.8%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

1.430.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.0%
1-114.2%
1-013.3%
0-012.5%
3-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.533.53
Average total9.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.0%25.7%–54.3% CI
Draw FT48.8%34.3%–63.5% CI
Away FT12.2%5.3%–25.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.4%
2+ goals31.7%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away26.8%