La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 15:15
14.1123.2%
X3.6826.0%
21.8850.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WWLDWLWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ath Bilbao
LLDLLWLDWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.60
Against
4.60
9.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.40goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.40
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

0.90goals per match
Almeria conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.60
9.00
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.80
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
23.00
Match total
26.70

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.10
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches207
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%21.3%-2.0 pp
Draw26.0%25.1%-0.8 pp
Away50.8%53.6%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

0.971.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
0-111.6%
1-210.6%
0-29.7%
2-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.50
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=207.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.3%10.6%–29.9% CI
Draw FT30.0%19.9%–42.5% CI
Away FT51.7%39.3%–63.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals51.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.3%
Away68.3%