La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-17 · 20:00
11.8152.9%
X3.3328.7%
25.2118.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celta
LDLDDWLWWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Mallorca
LWWLLLLLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.00
Against
4.60
9.30
Total
7.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celta attack
1.40goals per matchMallorca conceded1.50Matchup
Mallorca attack
0.80goals per matchCelta conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.60
9.30
Match total
7.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.40
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
24.90
Match total
29.30
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.70
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%70.0%+17.1 pp
Draw28.7%17.5%-11.2 pp
Away18.4%12.5%-5.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS32.5%
Historical average
1.52–0.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-022.5%
2-115.0%
2-015.0%
0-010.0%
1-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–3.30
Average total8.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.522.5%
Over 11.510.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.5%
Away25.0%