La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-17 · 20:00
11.8152.9%
X3.3328.7%
25.2118.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LDLDDWLWWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Mallorca
LWWLLLLLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.00
Against
4.60
9.30
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.40goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.50
Matchup

Mallorca attack

0.80goals per match
Celta conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.60
9.30
Match total
7.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.40
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
24.90
Match total
29.30

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.70
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%70.0%+17.1 pp
Draw28.7%17.5%-11.2 pp
Away18.4%12.5%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS32.5%

Historical average

1.520.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-022.5%
2-115.0%
2-015.0%
0-010.0%
1-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.223.30
Average total8.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.522.5%
Over 11.510.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away25.0%