La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 20:00
12.1943.8%
X3.2729.3%
23.5726.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valencia
DLLWLDLWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sevilla
WLDDLLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
11.50
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valencia attack
1.20goals per matchSevilla conceded1.90Matchup
Sevilla attack
0.90goals per matchValencia conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
11.50
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.90
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.90
Match total
23.80
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.70
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches641
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%42.1%-1.7 pp
Draw29.3%33.4%+4.1 pp
Away26.9%24.5%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS49.0%
Historical average
1.31–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.0%
1-012.6%
0-010.9%
2-09.0%
0-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–4.21
Average total9.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=640.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.533.1%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches238
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.7%29.9%–42.0% CI
Draw FT44.5%38.4%–50.9% CI
Away FT19.7%15.2%–25.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals10.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away40.8%