La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 20:00
12.1943.8%
X3.2729.3%
23.5726.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DLLWLDLWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sevilla
WLDDLLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
11.50
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.20goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.90
Matchup

Sevilla attack

0.90goals per match
Valencia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
11.50
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.90
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.90
Match total
23.80

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.70
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches641
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%42.1%-1.7 pp
Draw29.3%33.4%+4.1 pp
Away26.9%24.5%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.310.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
1-012.6%
0-010.9%
2-09.0%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.184.21
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=640.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.533.1%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches238
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.7%29.9%–42.0% CI
Draw FT44.5%38.4%–50.9% CI
Away FT19.7%15.2%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals10.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away40.8%