La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 17:30
11.2377.7%
X6.3515.0%
213.077.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
DDWLWDWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Almeria
LLLLDDLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
2.60
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.70
Against
6.20
8.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
2.60
2.40
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.90goals per match
Almeria conceded2.60
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.00goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.20
8.60
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
24.60
Match total
20.40

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.80
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.7%85.1%+7.5 pp
Draw15.0%5.4%-9.6 pp
Away7.3%9.5%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.543.2%
BTTS43.2%

Historical average

2.650.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-116.2%
3-013.5%
2-013.5%
2-19.5%
4-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.683.62
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.547.3%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away46.2%