La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 17:30
11.2377.7%
X6.3515.0%
213.077.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
DDWLWDWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Almeria
LLLLDDLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
2.60
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.70
Against
6.20
8.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
2.60
2.40
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.90goals per matchAlmeria conceded2.60Matchup
Almeria attack
1.00goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.20
8.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
24.60
Match total
20.40
Shots
16.90N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.80
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.7%85.1%+7.5 pp
Draw15.0%5.4%-9.6 pp
Away7.3%9.5%+2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.543.2%
BTTS43.2%
Historical average
2.65–0.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-116.2%
3-013.5%
2-013.5%
2-19.5%
4-06.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.68–3.62
Average total10.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.547.3%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away46.2%