La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 20:00
15.7816.6%
X4.2622.5%
21.5761.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cadiz
DDWDDWWWDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Real Madrid
WWLWLWLWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
9.50
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Cadiz attack

1.40goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.80
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.40goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
9.50
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.90
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
27.00
Match total
25.10

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches96
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.6%8.3%-8.2 pp
Draw22.5%21.9%-0.6 pp
Away61.0%69.8%+8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

0.762.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.6%
0-114.6%
1-39.4%
1-19.4%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.936.05
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=96.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.559.4%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.3%1.7%–20.1% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT59.4%42.3%–74.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals21.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away75.0%