La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 13:00
11.4367.0%
X4.8719.7%
27.1713.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WLWWWLLWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Valladolid
LLLLLWLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.30
0.90
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
5.50
8.70
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.30
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.10
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Valladolid conceded2.20
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.30goals per match
Villarreal conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.50
8.70
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.10
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
27.20
Match total
26.30

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.70
On target
1.70
9%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches183
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.0%70.5%+3.5 pp
Draw19.7%21.9%+2.2 pp
Away13.4%7.7%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.542.6%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

2.430.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.5%
3-19.8%
2-08.7%
3-08.7%
1-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.093.44
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=183.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.547.0%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.8%47.9%–75.6% CI
Draw FT32.6%20.5%–47.5% CI
Away FT4.7%1.3%–15.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals53.5%
3+ goals32.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.8%
Away27.9%