La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 20:00
14.4521.5%
X3.4527.8%
21.8950.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vallecano
DWWDLLWDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Ath Madrid
WWWLLDWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.50
0.90
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.50
Against
4.80
9.60
Total
8.80
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
0.70
2.40
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vallecano attack
1.40goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.70Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.20goals per matchVallecano conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.80
9.60
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.80
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
27.40
Match total
24.20
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.00
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.5%25.8%+4.2 pp
Draw27.8%25.8%-2.0 pp
Away50.7%48.5%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS47.0%
Historical average
0.88–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.2%
1-112.1%
1-012.1%
1-210.6%
0-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.30–5.58
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.528.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI
Draw FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Away FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.2%
Away41.7%