La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 17:30
13.0331.6%
X3.3428.7%
22.4139.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WWWLDWLWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Valencia
WDDLLLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.50
1.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.40
Against
5.50
8.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.50goals per match
Valencia conceded1.40
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.50goals per match
Almeria conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.50
8.90
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.70
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
23.60
Match total
26.10

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.40
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches448
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%29.2%-2.4 pp
Draw28.7%22.5%-6.1 pp
Away39.7%48.2%+8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.051.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.2%
1-111.6%
1-010.5%
1-210.3%
0-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.765.17
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=448.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.0%25.1%–39.8% CI
Draw FT32.0%25.1%–39.8% CI
Away FT36.0%28.8%–43.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.7%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.7%
Away50.0%