La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 13:00
12.5737.2%
X2.9132.9%
23.2029.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
DWWWLLWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Mallorca
DLWWLLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.50
Against
5.00
11.70
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
1.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.10goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.30
Matchup

Mallorca attack

0.60goals per match
Valladolid conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.00
11.70
Match total
8.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.40
Match total
5.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
25.00
Match total
28.90

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.80
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%39.3%+2.1 pp
Draw32.9%30.4%-2.5 pp
Away29.9%30.4%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS33.9%

Historical average

0.980.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.9%
0-116.1%
0-014.3%
1-112.5%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.634.02
Average total8.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.2%
Over 9.539.3%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.517.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Draw FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals24.0%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away36.0%