La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 20:00
11.5362.6%
X4.5121.2%
25.9316.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWDWDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Villarreal
DLLLWDLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.00
Against
6.60
9.50
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.50goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.30
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.00goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.60
9.50
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.60
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
24.70
Match total
24.40

Shots

19.80N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
7.90
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches171
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.6%69.0%+6.4 pp
Draw21.2%19.9%-1.4 pp
Away16.2%11.1%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

2.170.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.3%
1-111.7%
2-110.5%
2-09.4%
3-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.473.63
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=171.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.8%39.7%–65.6% CI
Draw FT37.7%25.9%–51.2% CI
Away FT9.4%4.1%–20.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.7%
2+ goals50.9%
3+ goals18.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.2%
Away45.3%