La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 17:30
11.7056.4%
X3.4427.9%
26.1015.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WWLDWWLDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Getafe
DDWLLLDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
1.00
10%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
0.80
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.20
Against
6.40
8.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
1.70
Total goals
1.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.10goals per match
Getafe conceded1.00
Matchup

Getafe attack

0.70goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.40
8.60
Match total
9.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
31.20
Match total
24.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.40
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%61.5%+5.1 pp
Draw27.9%19.2%-8.6 pp
Away15.7%19.2%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.523.1%
Over 3.511.5%
BTTS34.6%

Historical average

1.420.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-023.1%
2-023.1%
1-115.4%
0-17.7%
2-13.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.653.50
Average total8.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.530.8%
Over 10.519.2%
Over 11.515.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away40.0%