La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 20:00
12.1943.8%
X3.3628.6%
23.4727.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sevilla
DDLLWWWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Celta
LLLDWLWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.50
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.50goals per matchCelta conceded1.40Matchup
Celta attack
1.10goals per matchSevilla conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.20
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.00
Match total
25.30
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.60
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches768
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%43.8%-0.1 pp
Draw28.6%29.8%+1.3 pp
Away27.6%26.4%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS52.2%
Historical average
1.39–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.7%
1-012.6%
2-110.4%
0-18.3%
0-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–4.35
Average total9.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=767.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.525.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches253
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.5%33.7%–45.7% CI
Draw FT38.3%32.6%–44.5% CI
Away FT22.1%17.5%–27.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals13.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.3%
Away42.7%