La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 20:00
12.1943.8%
X3.3628.6%
23.4727.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
DDLLWWWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Celta
LLLDWLWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.50
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.50goals per match
Celta conceded1.40
Matchup

Celta attack

1.10goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.20
Match total
4.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.00
Match total
25.30

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.60
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches768
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%43.8%-0.1 pp
Draw28.6%29.8%+1.3 pp
Away27.6%26.4%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.391.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-012.6%
2-110.4%
0-18.3%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.35
Average total9.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=767.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches253
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.5%33.7%–45.7% CI
Draw FT38.3%32.6%–44.5% CI
Away FT22.1%17.5%–27.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away42.7%