La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-03 · 20:00
12.1245.1%
X3.2129.8%
23.8125.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
WDLLWLDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Vallecano
LLDWDWWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.90
Against
4.10
10.80
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.40goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.40
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.00goals per match
Valencia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.10
10.80
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.90
Match total
5.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
27.90
Match total
30.60

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.00
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches319
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.1%42.6%-2.5 pp
Draw29.8%34.2%+4.4 pp
Away25.1%23.2%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.310.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
0-013.8%
1-012.9%
2-011.3%
0-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.324.13
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=319.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches137
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%27.6%–43.3% CI
Draw FT46.7%38.6%–55.0% CI
Away FT18.2%12.7%–25.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away37.2%