La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 15:15
11.2179.4%
X7.2013.3%
213.227.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
DWWDWDWWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Valladolid
WLLLLLWLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.10
Against
5.00
9.70
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.00goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.80
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.60goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.00
9.70
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.80
Match total
5.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
24.10
Match total
27.10

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
6.60
On target
2.20
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.4%78.9%-0.5 pp
Draw13.3%9.9%-3.5 pp
Away7.3%11.3%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

2.460.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.9%
2-115.5%
3-09.9%
1-19.9%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.302.85
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals68.4%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home89.5%
Away47.4%