La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 13:00
11.5761.1%
X4.1723.0%
26.0116.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
WLDLDDWLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Almeria
LLLLLDDLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
2.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.20
Against
6.30
9.60
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
2.50
2.10
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Almeria conceded2.50
Matchup

Almeria attack

0.80goals per match
Celta conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.30
9.60
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.30
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
25.30
Match total
20.80

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.60
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.1%57.3%-3.7 pp
Draw23.0%25.6%+2.6 pp
Away16.0%17.1%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.840.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-010.9%
2-010.6%
2-18.9%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.293.77
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.0%32.3%–52.5% CI
Draw FT34.1%25.0%–44.5% CI
Away FT23.9%16.2%–33.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.1%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away52.3%