La Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:15
11.6259.2%
X3.6826.0%
26.4814.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
WWLWWDLWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Getafe
WDDWLLLDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.60
Against
5.90
10.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.70goals per match
Getafe conceded1.00
Matchup

Getafe attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.90
10.30
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.20
Match total
5.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
24.90
Match total
25.70

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.2%39.3%-19.9 pp
Draw26.0%35.7%+9.7 pp
Away14.8%25.0%+10.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.181.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-017.9%
1-014.3%
2-114.3%
1-110.7%
2-310.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.862.89
Average total7.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.542.9%
Over 9.521.4%
Over 10.514.3%
Over 11.510.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Draw FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal56.3%
2+ goals18.8%
3+ goals6.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away18.8%