La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 20:00
12.1943.8%
X3.5427.1%
23.3029.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barcelona
WWWWWDWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Real Madrid
WWWLWLWLWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.50
0.10
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
10%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
0.80
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.10
Against
5.80
8.30
Total
10.60
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.10
Goals conceded
0.70
2.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.10goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.70Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.50goals per matchBarcelona conceded0.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.10
Corners against
5.80
8.30
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
23.90
Match total
25.70
Shots
16.50N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
6.50
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches463
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%44.3%+0.5 pp
Draw27.1%31.5%+4.4 pp
Away29.1%24.2%-4.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
1.53–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
1-010.2%
2-09.3%
0-18.4%
2-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.53–4.30
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=463.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches142
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%26.5%–41.9% CI
Draw FT41.5%33.8%–49.8% CI
Away FT24.6%18.3%–32.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals14.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.8%
Away45.1%