La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 15:15
13.0931.0%
X3.1930.0%
22.4639.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Osasuna
WLLWWLWLLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Villarreal
LDLLLWDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.50
Against
6.80
8.50
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Osasuna attack

0.80goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.40
Matchup

Villarreal attack

0.70goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.80
8.50
Match total
12.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
27.50
Match total
24.70

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.70
On target
3.00
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches307
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%30.0%-1.0 pp
Draw30.0%30.0%-0.1 pp
Away39.0%40.1%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.101.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
0-111.7%
1-09.8%
0-09.4%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.454.79
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=307.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.7%16.2%–33.2% CI
Draw FT44.1%34.4%–54.2% CI
Away FT32.3%23.6%–42.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.2%
Away48.4%