La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 20:00
11.5761.1%
X3.9524.3%
26.5314.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
LWDDWLWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Valencia
DWDDLLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.80
Against
5.70
9.40
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.80goals per match
Valencia conceded1.30
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.70goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.70
9.40
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
25.00
Match total
27.10

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.70
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches126
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.1%70.6%+9.6 pp
Draw24.3%23.8%-0.5 pp
Away14.7%5.6%-9.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS39.7%

Historical average

1.860.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.6%
3-014.3%
2-111.9%
2-011.1%
2-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.483.44
Average total8.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=126.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.543.7%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.516.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.0%48.6%–75.5% CI
Draw FT34.8%22.7%–49.2% CI
Away FT2.2%0.4%–11.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.1%
Away21.7%