La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 17:30
12.8833.2%
X3.1930.0%
22.6036.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Espanol
LDWDLDWDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Celta
LLLLDWLWDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.70
Against
5.10
8.70
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Espanol attack
1.50goals per matchCelta conceded1.60Matchup
Celta attack
0.80goals per matchEspanol conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.10
8.70
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.00
Match total
27.10
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches413
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.2%31.5%-1.7 pp
Draw30.0%33.4%+3.4 pp
Away36.8%35.1%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.517.7%
BTTS46.7%
Historical average
1.06–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
0-013.8%
0-112.3%
2-19.2%
1-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.61–4.68
Average total9.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=413.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.2%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.525.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches165
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.6%17.8%–30.7% CI
Draw FT50.9%43.3%–58.4% CI
Away FT25.5%19.4%–32.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals30.9%
3+ goals11.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.8%
Away48.5%