La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 17:30
12.8833.2%
X3.1930.0%
22.6036.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Espanol
LDWDLDWDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Celta
LLLLDWLWDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.70
Against
5.10
8.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.50goals per match
Celta conceded1.60
Matchup

Celta attack

0.80goals per match
Espanol conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.10
8.70
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.00
Match total
27.10

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches413
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.2%31.5%-1.7 pp
Draw30.0%33.4%+3.4 pp
Away36.8%35.1%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.517.7%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

1.061.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
0-013.8%
0-112.3%
2-19.2%
1-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.614.68
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=413.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.2%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches165
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.6%17.8%–30.7% CI
Draw FT50.9%43.3%–58.4% CI
Away FT25.5%19.4%–32.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals30.9%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.8%
Away48.5%