La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:15
12.0846.0%
X3.3928.2%
23.7225.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vallecano
WDWWDLLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Girona
LLLDWDLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.80
0.90
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.30
Against
5.00
10.40
Total
8.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vallecano attack
1.40goals per matchGirona conceded1.90Matchup
Girona attack
1.40goals per matchVallecano conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.00
10.40
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.30
Match total
6.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
26.70
Match total
27.20
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.30
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches506
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%47.8%+1.8 pp
Draw28.2%27.5%-0.8 pp
Away25.7%24.7%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS51.8%
Historical average
1.47–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
1-012.8%
2-110.9%
2-09.1%
0-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.54–4.29
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=506.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.8%30.6%–45.6% CI
Draw FT39.1%31.8%–46.9% CI
Away FT23.1%17.2%–30.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.2%
Away39.1%