La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 13:00
12.0846.0%
X3.4028.2%
23.7125.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WWWWLDWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Cadiz
WDLDLWLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Against
6.60
9.50
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.70goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.50
Matchup

Cadiz attack

0.60goals per match
Almeria conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.30N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.60
9.50
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.80
Match total
5.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
24.60
Match total
29.90

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.30
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches329
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%43.5%-2.6 pp
Draw28.2%28.6%+0.4 pp
Away25.8%28.0%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.431.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
0-110.9%
2-110.6%
1-010.3%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.314.28
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=329.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches115
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%22.8%–39.4% CI
Draw FT38.3%29.9%–47.4% CI
Away FT31.3%23.5%–40.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.4%
Away53.0%