La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-13 · 20:00
13.6526.2%
X3.3728.3%
22.1045.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
WLDDWDWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Ath Madrid
DWWWLLDWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
20%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.60
2.00
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
8.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
3.50
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Girona attack

2.00goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.80
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.20goals per match
Girona conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
8.20
Match total
9.80
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.30
Match total
5.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
23.30
Match total
25.50

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
6.20
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.2%20.8%-5.4 pp
Draw28.3%36.1%+7.8 pp
Away45.5%43.1%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS43.1%

Historical average

0.891.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-017.8%
0-112.9%
1-111.9%
0-28.4%
1-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.745.00
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.3%5.1%–19.8% CI
Draw FT60.3%48.4%–71.1% CI
Away FT29.4%19.9%–41.1% CI

Remaining goals

0.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal47.1%
2+ goals19.1%
3+ goals4.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home19.1%
Away38.2%