La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-13 · 20:00
13.6526.2%
X3.3728.3%
22.1045.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Girona
WLDDWDWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Ath Madrid
DWWWLLDWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
20%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.60
2.00
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
8.20
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
3.50
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Girona attack
2.00goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.80Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.20goals per matchGirona conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
8.20
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.30
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
23.30
Match total
25.50
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
6.20
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.2%20.8%-5.4 pp
Draw28.3%36.1%+7.8 pp
Away45.5%43.1%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS43.1%
Historical average
0.89–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-017.8%
0-112.9%
1-111.9%
0-28.4%
1-26.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.74–5.00
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.3%5.1%–19.8% CI
Draw FT60.3%48.4%–71.1% CI
Away FT29.4%19.9%–41.1% CI
Remaining goals
0.74
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal47.1%
2+ goals19.1%
3+ goals4.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home19.1%
Away38.2%