La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 15:15
11.7455.0%
X3.7625.4%
24.8919.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sevilla
LDDLLWWWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Almeria
LLLLLLDDLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
5.90
10.20
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.40
2.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.30goals per matchAlmeria conceded2.40Matchup
Almeria attack
0.70goals per matchSevilla conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.90
10.20
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.90
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
26.20
Match total
22.00
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.40
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches411
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.0%55.2%+0.2 pp
Draw25.4%25.8%+0.3 pp
Away19.6%19.0%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.68–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.9%
2-111.9%
1-111.2%
2-010.9%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.10–3.94
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=411.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.6%38.2%–55.1% CI
Draw FT36.6%28.9%–45.2% CI
Away FT16.8%11.4%–24.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.5%
Away37.4%