La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 15:15
11.7455.0%
X3.7625.4%
24.8919.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
LDDLLWWWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Almeria
LLLLLLDDLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
5.90
10.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.40
2.40
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.30goals per match
Almeria conceded2.40
Matchup

Almeria attack

0.70goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.90
10.20
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.90
Match total
4.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
26.20
Match total
22.00

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.40
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches411
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.0%55.2%+0.2 pp
Draw25.4%25.8%+0.3 pp
Away19.6%19.0%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.680.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.9%
2-111.9%
1-111.2%
2-010.9%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.94
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=411.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.6%38.2%–55.1% CI
Draw FT36.6%28.9%–45.2% CI
Away FT16.8%11.4%–24.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.5%
Away37.4%