La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 20:00
12.1045.5%
X3.2029.9%
23.8924.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
WWDLLWLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Osasuna
DLDWLDDDDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.70
Against
7.10
10.30
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.80goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.10
Matchup

Osasuna attack

0.90goals per match
Valencia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.10
10.30
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
7.10
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
28.40
Match total
26.70

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.50
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches194
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%44.3%-1.2 pp
Draw29.9%33.0%+3.1 pp
Away24.6%22.7%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

1.310.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.9%
1-114.9%
1-012.4%
2-010.8%
0-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.314.05
Average total9.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=194.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.2%
Over 9.543.3%
Over 10.532.0%
Over 11.524.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.1%23.1%–42.7% CI
Draw FT47.6%37.3%–58.2% CI
Away FT20.2%13.0%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals6.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.8%
Away35.7%